Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 39.439472 46.646241 54.574607 63.913807 74.582115 86.356024 100.299678
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 30.110948 39.990179 51.922940 67.261449 86.304645 109.010642 137.955768
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 24.565447 35.697810 50.138724 69.946554 96.068660 128.966253 173.097103
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 20.107681 31.612944 47.485144 70.483575 102.367434 144.346888 203.005118
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 16.092869 27.259957 43.578786 68.445578 104.509527 153.905711 225.439641
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 13.611248 24.655803 41.643066 68.692973 109.474879 167.237713 253.435187
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 11.825264 22.793597 40.473411 69.766649 115.482626 182.172452 284.326071
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 9.246445 19.130058 35.925366 65.006610 112.140251 183.128061 294.953132
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 8.281031 18.124140 35.559600 66.797977 118.914069 199.326266 328.688381
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 7.088802 16.476248 33.851146 66.111480 121.565528 209.271260 353.412252
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.759845 16.457003 35.017281 70.419163 132.648393 232.891766 400.249605
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.507839 14.312846 31.971889 66.927523 130.273211 234.878212 413.247513
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.989329 13.756272 32.092234 69.600504 139.411626 257.204885 461.757433
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.578194 13.384044 32.573200 73.094425 150.466552 283.717677 519.128710
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.158528 12.897232 32.736666 75.965686 160.596441 309.270501 576.319955
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.617720 11.975806 31.818520 76.540807 166.460475 327.780383 622.643571
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.976906 10.618039 29.698417 74.354025 166.819251 336.563131 652.761041
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.584248 9.846647 28.799032 74.619496 171.906566 354.008922 698.676641
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.292754 9.296247 28.338392 75.771543 178.810390 375.100966 751.986272
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.761951 7.818980 25.283891 70.662609 172.437077 371.103623 760.157216
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.598314 7.521779 25.257111 72.585719 180.879108 395.500430 820.961525
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.360539 6.880939 24.180930 71.848799 183.542374 408.899336 862.094857
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.322447 6.987245 25.232732 76.471597 198.229465 446.487201 949.939783